Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternitywin 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stratyk Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Bane
Jubei · 10 games
Disruptor
Jubei · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Rises · 5 games
Dark Willow
Cys · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Rises · 4 games
Lion
Cys · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Rises · 4 games
Stratyk Gaming
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Wraith Kingoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
451 picks · 273 bans
Mars
381 picks · 524 bans
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 503 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 473 bans
Death Prophet
296 picks · 460 bans
Kunkka
286 picks · 507 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 186 bans
Ember Spirit
260 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 70%
Hero pool strength63% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Stratyk Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteStratyk Gaming · 69%
Series resultEternity 2:0
Series predictionmissed