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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Evil Rabbitwin 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Spiky Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
67%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
33%

Spiky Gaming

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Manic · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Hara · 5 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Manic · 3 games
67%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Manic · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 349 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 510 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 350 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
272 picks · 474 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Spiky Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% Evil Rabbit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:34
Evil Rabbit 57%Spiky Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 39:57.
Game 2prediction correct25:21
Evil Rabbit 54%Spiky Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 31:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaButterflyEffect
43% · 76 games41% · 53 games
Templar AssassinManic
Templar Assassin
Underlord
UnderlordIrving
53% · 34 games54% · 85 games
Kunkka生死
Kunkka
Mirana
MiranaQYQX
62% · 103 games37% · 11 games
TinkerTK
Tinker
51% · 64 games
ClockwerkHara
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct27:12
Evil Rabbit 52%Spiky Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 36:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritButterflyEffect
41% · 77 games65% · 49 games
Naga SirenManic
Naga Siren
Primal Beast
Primal BeastIrving
44% · 223 games57% · 89 games
Timbersaw生死
Timbersaw
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorQYQX
43% · 81 game54% · 127 games
EnchantressTK
Enchantress
55% · 116 games
BatriderHara
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Rabbit · 57%
Series resultEvil Rabbit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3