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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Evil Rabbitloss 1:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Zerowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
25%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Irving · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
67%

Team Zero

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 12 games
42%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
7e · 12 games
42%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
poyoyo · 11 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
zzq · 10 games
40%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
poyoyo · 8 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
zzq · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
348 picks · 331 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
339 picks · 395 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 490 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
308 picks · 268 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
286 picks · 454 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 470 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 30%
Hero pool strength51% Evil Rabbit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:16
Evil Rabbit 38%Team Zero 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 30:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritButterflyEffect
47% · 158 games51% · 68 games
Nature's Prophetpoyoyo
Nature's Prophet
Underlord
UnderlordIrving
52% · 60 games45% · 90 games
KunkkaBEYOND
Kunkka
Enchantress
EnchantressQYQX
48% · 218 games55% · 155 games
Rubick7e
Rubick
49% · 71 game
Dark WillowPyw
Dark Willow
55% · 52 games
Naga Sirenzzq
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction missed28:12
Evil Rabbit 39%Team Zero 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 26:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperButterflyEffect
55% · 121 game43% · 19 games
Lone Druidpoyoyo
Lone Druid
Bristleback
BristlebackIrving
48% · 59 games45% · 78 games
DoomBEYOND
Doom
Naga Siren
Naga SirenQYQX
52% · 139 games48% · 84 games
Pangolier7e
Pangolier
54% · 77 games
BatriderPyw
Batrider
46% · 61 game
Clockwerkzzq
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct22:33
Evil Rabbit 39%Team Zero 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 44:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendButterflyEffect
43% · 95 games44% · 92 games
Miranapoyoyo
Mirana
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerIrving
45% · 276 games53% · 62 games
Monkey King7e
Monkey King
Naga Siren
Naga SirenQYQX
59% · 115 games55% · 85 games
Dark SeerBEYOND
Dark Seer
55% · 124 games
ClockwerkPyw
Clockwerk
44% · 123 games
Tuskzzq
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 73%
Series resultTeam Zero 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3