BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 16 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 11 games
Linasignature
Bob · 11 games
Treant Protector
RR · 11 games
Army Geniuses
Mirana
Lym- · 13 games
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 12 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 9 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
Lym- · 8 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
283 picks · 155 bans
Mars
267 picks · 358 bans
Lina
257 picks · 526 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 338 bans
Shadow Demon
227 picks · 238 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 17%
Hero pool strength65% Execration
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total73% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 73%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed