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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lion
Hyde · 18 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 12 games
58%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mikoto · 9 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Hyde · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Hyde · 8 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Khezcute · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
369 picks · 170 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 123 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
266 picks · 458 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 520 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
243 picks · 412 bans
49%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 244 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
235 picks · 328 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total65% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:19
Execration 43%BOOM Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Execration in 32:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaTino-
56% · 71 game39% · 77 games
GyrocopterPalos
Gyrocopter
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritBob
45% · 112 games55% · 46 games
Queen of PainYopaj
Queen of Pain
Lion
LionRR
50% · 193 games50% · 80 games
BloodseekerFbz
Bloodseeker
52% · 119 games
PangolierPlayHard
Pangolier
56% · 54 games
IoSkem
Io
Game 2prediction correct5:25
Execration 42%BOOM Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 21:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTino-
46% · 63 games54% · 21 game
SlarkPalos
Slark
Kunkka
KunkkaBob
41% · 45 games57% · 42 games
TinyYopaj
Tiny
Bane
BaneRR
50% · 10 games58% · 25 games
BeastmasterFbz
Beastmaster
62% · 16 games
WindrangerPlayHard
Windranger
45% · 14 games
IoSkem
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 65%
Accuracy by game1 of 2