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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Direbornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 13 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 10 games
70%
Axe
Axe
Tino- · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
38%

Direborn

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalker
woMy · 2 games
100%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Juju · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
woMy · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
600 picks · 371 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
490 picks · 266 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
403 picks · 556 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
339 picks · 919 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 850 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
326 picks · 279 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Direborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:11
Execration 72%Direborn 28%
The model gave 72% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 34:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanTino-
60% · 69 games51% · 335 games
Tinydb-
Tiny
Monkey King
Monkey KingAkashi
48% · 116 games43% · 171 game
UnderlordwoMy
Underlord
Puck
PuckBob
55% · 313 games48% · 171 game
SilencerPlayHard
Silencer
Techies
TechiesShanks
43% · 77 games
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorcml
57% · 102 games
Game 2prediction correct33:33
Execration 73%Direborn 27%
The model gave 73% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 46:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidAkashi
54% · 23 games46% · 221 game
Monkey Kingdb-
Monkey King
Doom
DoomTino-
49% · 111 games44% · 191 game
DawnbreakerwoMy
Dawnbreaker
Pangolier
PangolierBob
45% · 158 games52% · 127 games
SilencerPlayHard
Silencer
Chen
Chencml
63% · 75 games
Tusk
TuskShanks
54% · 172 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 87%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2