BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 16 games
Bane
RR · 14 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 10 games
Grimstroke
RR · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Bob · 8 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Bane
boombell · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Weaveroften banned
Q · 7 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
439 picks · 276 bans
Mars
426 picks · 573 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 453 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 736 bans
Sand King
328 picks · 449 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 470 bans
Pangolier
284 picks · 428 bans
Storm Spirit
284 picks · 419 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 23%
Hero pool strength51% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total57% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 57%