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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Atomicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bob · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
Shanks · 12 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 11 games
73%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
64%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 9 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
56%

Neon Atomic

Silencer
Silencer
Hated · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
JG · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Hated · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
JG · 1 game
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hated · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
JG · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JG · 1 game
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Hated · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
370 picks · 573 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
334 picks · 572 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
326 picks · 219 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
240 picks · 333 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
238 picks · 464 bans
54%
Enigma
Enigma
235 picks · 740 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 244 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
208 picks · 103 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:23
Execration 54%Neon Atomic 46%
The model gave 54% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 32:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPalos
56% · 180 games51% · 168 games
Queen of PainFearless
Queen of Pain
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendBob
50% · 53 games45% · 302 games
SnapfireHated
Snapfire
Visage
VisageTino-
49% · 60 games
Tiny
TinyShanks
53% · 177 games
Game 2prediction missed9:45
Execration 55%Neon Atomic 45%
The model gave 55% on Execration — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 29:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerBob
50% · 16 games47% · 95 games
TuskFearless
Tusk
Doom
DoomTino-
49% · 27 games45% · 19 games
Ancient ApparitionHated
Ancient Apparition
Pudge
PudgePalos
46% · 23 games
Mirana
MiranaShanks
67% · 48 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2