BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 1:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team SMGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Linaoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Batridersignature
Bob · 11 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 11 games
Bane
RR · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Tino- · 9 games
Tiny
Tino- · 9 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Bob · 7 games
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
546 picks · 374 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 570 bans
Mars
448 picks · 616 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 808 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 171 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 543 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 38%
Hero pool strength62% Team SMG
Head-to-head2 – 7
Model total66% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 66%
Series resultExecration 1:0
Series predictionmissed