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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
377 picks · 174 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
267 picks · 477 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 524 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 351 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
246 picks · 419 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
240 picks · 305 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
237 picks · 328 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 30%
Hero pool strength59% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total71% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:11
Execration 62%Yangon Galacticos 38%
The model gave 62% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 28:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingTino-
49% · 37 games54% · 104 games
InvokerYoung PH
Invoker
Lina
LinaBob
40% · 67 games49% · 48 games
BloodseekerKsh
Bloodseeker
Tidehunter
TidehunterRR
56% · 48 games
Game 2prediction correct37:20
Execration 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 32:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTino-
56% · 26 games53% · 20 games
Phantom LancerKsh
Phantom Lancer
Magnus
MagnusBob
59% · 15 games37% · 27 games
KunkkaYoung PH
Kunkka
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritRR
50% · 6 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 71%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2