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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 16 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Lina
Linasignature
Bob · 14 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
62%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 11 games
55%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 11 games
55%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 6 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
25%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
258 picks · 342 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
256 picks · 146 bans
53%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
250 picks · 384 bans
52%
Lina
Lina
241 picks · 506 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
226 picks · 494 bans
62%
Pangolier
Pangolier
225 picks · 316 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
219 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
214 picks · 251 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 26%
Hero pool strength61% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total62% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:29
Execration 55%Yangon Galacticos 45%
The model gave 55% on Execration — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenMarb
40% · 6 games52% · 64 games
SpectreKsh
Spectre
Lina
LinaBob
44% · 52 games55% · 106 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsTino-
42% · 94 games
Bane
BaneRR
58% · 18 games
Game 2prediction missed18:22
Execration 61%Yangon Galacticos 39%
The model gave 61% on Execration — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 30:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaMarb
40% · 39 games55% · 125 games
TerrorbladeKsh
Terrorblade
Leshrac
LeshracBob
47% · 51 game52% · 81 game
KunkkaYoung PH
Kunkka
Mars
MarsTino-
47% · 76 games
Snapfire
SnapfireRR
52% · 40 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 62%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2