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BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Lina
Linaoften banned
Bob · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 12 games
33%
Bane
Bane
RR · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Bob · 9 games
78%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RR · 9 games
11%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 9 games
56%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RR · 6 games
50%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 9 games
44%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 6 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 6 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
25%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
536 picks · 383 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
445 picks · 653 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
444 picks · 535 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
430 picks · 841 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
346 picks · 178 bans
45%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 542 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
334 picks · 541 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
275 picks · 311 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 25%
Hero pool strength52% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total53% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:24
Execration 54%Yangon Galacticos 46%
The model gave 54% on Execration — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 25:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinMarb
48% · 52 games50% · 139 games
TerrorbladeKsh
Terrorblade
Void Spirit
Void SpiritBob
46% · 88 games50% · 212 games
KunkkaYoung PH
Kunkka
Tidehunter
TidehunterLuciano
50% · 94 games
Bane
BaneRR
56% · 117 games
Game 2prediction correct29:62
Execration 48%Yangon Galacticos 52%
The model gave 52% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 50:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMarb
35% · 29 games58% · 140 games
KunkkaKsh
Kunkka
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainBob
49% · 144 games52% · 124 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightLuciano
51% · 43 games
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiRR
45% · 48 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 53%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2