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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
EzPzloss 0:2
series probability
4%96%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EzPz

No games played over 6 months.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
471 picks · 593 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
463 picks · 398 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
453 picks · 560 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
431 picks · 534 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 777 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 475 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
400 picks · 886 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
EzPz 4%Yakult Brothers 96%
The model gave 96% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Game 2prediction correct
EzPz 4%Yakult Brothers 96%
The model gave 96% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 96%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2