BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionFJFúria Jovemloss 0:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
44Gringoswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fúria Jovem
Leshracoften banned
Sooths · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
RdO · 3 games
Shadow Demon
Duster · 3 games
Windranger
Sooths · 3 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Mandy · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Mandy · 2 games
4Gringos
Brewmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 2 games
Clockwerk
Giant · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Earth Spirit
Giant · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
dnm · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
dnm · 1 game
Shadow Demon
Giant · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 122 bans
Lina
267 picks · 476 bans
Nyx Assassin
258 picks · 524 bans
Luna
252 picks · 344 bans
Mars
245 picks · 414 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 307 bans
Dragon Knight
233 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 30%
Hero pool strength55% Fúria Jovem
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Fúria Jovem
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:47
Fúria Jovem 50%4Gringos 50%
The model gave 50% on Fúria Jovem — the game was taken by 4Gringos in 40:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageMandy
Svendnm
EarthshakerKingrd
SlardarValquiria
PangolierDuster
Skywrath MageGiant
Game 2prediction correct42:24
Fúria Jovem 56%4Gringos 44%
The model gave 56% on Fúria Jovem — the game was taken by Fúria Jovem in 40:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperMandy
Ember Spiritdnm
MiranaKingrd
BrewmasterValquiria
MarsDuster
EnchantressGiant
Model check result
Model favoriteFúria Jovem · 60%
Series result4Gringos 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2