Fúria Jovem vs Team Unknown — prediction LPSS7А · Dota 2

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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3

result vs prediction

FJFúria Jovemwin 2:0

series probability

40%60%

probability at match start · final 2:0

Team Unknownloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fúria Jovem

No games played over 6 months.

Team Unknown

Hoodwink

Wij · 12 games

58%

Snapfire

Wij · 10 games

30%

Kunkkaoften banned

Robo-Z · 9 games

56%

Viperoften banned

Prada · 9 games

44%

Marsoften banned

Robo-Z · 8 games

50%

Ember Spiritoften banned

Robo-Z · 7 games

57%

Lion

Wij · 7 games

14%

Ancient Apparitionsignature

Prada · 6 games

83%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Lion

429 picks · 166 bans

52%

Ancient Apparition

312 picks · 473 bans

56%

Mars

306 picks · 524 bans

49%

Nyx Assassin

302 picks · 617 bans

57%

Puck

298 picks · 708 bans

49%

Enchantress

268 picks · 344 bans

47%

Hoodwink

260 picks · 109 bans

51%

Lina

258 picks · 329 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%

Hero pool strength50% Fúria Jovem

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total60% Team Unknown

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed43:23

Fúria Jovem 43%Team Unknown 57%

The model gave 57% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Fúria Jovem in 37:41.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo