BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO5
result vs prediction
FEDERALNAYAloss 2:3series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:3
LEGENDIwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
FEDERALNAYA
No games played over 6 months.
LEGENDI
Crystal Maiden
sereGGa · 1 game
Marcioften banned
Covisnine · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Rubick
D_Mini · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
528 picks · 785 bans
Tiny
503 picks · 599 bans
Clockwerk
498 picks · 534 bans
Batrider
480 picks · 597 bans
Muerta
460 picks · 389 bans
Magnus
439 picks · 996 bans
Gyrocopter
431 picks · 793 bans
Lich
390 picks · 213 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% FEDERALNAYA
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% FEDERALNAYA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:36
FEDERALNAYA 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 47:26.
Game 2prediction correct29:40
FEDERALNAYA 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 40:39.
Game 3prediction correct12:42
FEDERALNAYA 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 40:59.
Game 4prediction missed26:36
FEDERALNAYA 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 47:37.
Game 5prediction missed7:30
FEDERALNAYA 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 28:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteFEDERALNAYA · 62%
Series resultLEGENDI 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5