BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Feltloss 1:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:1
No Runesloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Felt
Tiny
solji · 10 games
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 10 games
Death Prophetsignature
solji · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Fayde · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
Rubick
AfrOmoush · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 5 games
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
624 picks · 484 bans
Marci
464 picks · 681 bans
Dawnbreaker
401 picks · 563 bans
Puck
392 picks · 842 bans
Winter Wyvern
321 picks · 404 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
274 picks · 360 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% No Runes
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% No Runes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Felt 40%No Runes 60%
The model gave 60% on No Runes — the game was taken by No Runes.
Game 2prediction missed
Felt 40%No Runes 60%
The model gave 60% on No Runes — the game was taken by Felt.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Runes · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2