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BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Feltloss 1:1
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Ravensloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Felt

Tiny
Tiny
solji · 10 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 10 games
30%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
solji · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fayde · 6 games
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
AfrOmoush · 5 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 5 games
0%

Ravens

Tiny
Tinysignature
d1smar · 11 games
64%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 10 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 8 games
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
DaaD- · 7 games
57%
Doom
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
618 picks · 476 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 675 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
389 picks · 554 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 835 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 403 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 479 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
269 picks · 356 bans
44%
Dazzle
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 56%
Hero pool strength69% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:49
Felt 36%Ravens 64%
The model gave 64% on Ravens — the game was taken by Felt in 54:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursaparadise'
48% · 71 game56% · 73 games
LunaDaaD-
Luna
Morphling
Morphlingsolji
45% · 131 game50% · 175 games
Ember SpiritÑengoflow KELOKE
Ember Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritFayde
37% · 32 games56% · 25 games
Centaur WarrunnerBenjaz
Centaur Warrunner
Marci
MarciThe Warden
50% · 114 games46% · 68 games
Skywrath Maged1smar
Skywrath Mage
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernChen
52% · 99 games56% · 106 games
UndyingCara
Undying
Game 2prediction correct26:43
Felt 34%Ravens 66%
The model gave 66% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 34:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectreparadise'
52% · 54 games53% · 102 games
LinaÑengoflow KELOKE
Lina
Leshrac
Leshracsolji
46% · 102 games53% · 106 games
KunkkaDaaD-
Kunkka
Night Stalker
Night StalkerFayde
41% · 79 games63% · 65 games
EnigmaBenjaz
Enigma
Silencer
SilencerThe Warden
41% · 54 games59% · 184 games
Tinyd1smar
Tiny
Clockwerk
ClockwerkChen
44% · 227 games49% · 59 games
Ogre MagiCara
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 71%
Accuracy by game1 of 2