Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Feltloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Cutwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Felt
Axe
Zore · 4 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
solji · 3 games
Slarkoften banned
Kom4rt · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Zore · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Kom4rt · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Kom4rt · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
solji · 1 game
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 4 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 2 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
288 picks · 575 bans
Void Spirit
258 picks · 325 bans
Mars
228 picks · 405 bans
Earth Spirit
214 picks · 167 bans
Keeper of the Light
187 picks · 343 bans
Nyx Assassin
183 picks · 575 bans
Wraith King
181 picks · 235 bans
Phoenix
179 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 59%
Series resultThe Cut 1:2
Series predictioncorrect