BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Feltloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wolf Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Felt
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 11 games
Tinysignature
AfrOmoush · 10 games
Death Prophetsignature
solji · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 6 games
Axeoften banned
Zore · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
Linaoften banned
solji · 5 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
639 picks · 498 bans
Marci
469 picks · 687 bans
Dawnbreaker
412 picks · 577 bans
Puck
404 picks · 857 bans
Winter Wyvern
331 picks · 407 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
278 picks · 375 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Wolf Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:49
Felt 40%Wolf Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 46:02.
Game 2prediction correct34:49
Felt 40%Wolf Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 37:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 60%
Series resultWolf Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2