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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 13 games
69%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 11 games
55%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%
Axe
Axesignature
db- · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
426 picks · 168 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 467 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 614 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 691 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
297 picks · 525 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
264 picks · 111 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
260 picks · 340 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
256 picks · 334 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 41%
Hero pool strength50% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:10
Fnatic 74%Army Geniuses 26%
The model gave 74% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 26:08.
Game 2prediction missed14:22
Fnatic 74%Army Geniuses 26%
The model gave 74% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 24:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 74%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2