Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 11 games
Iosignature
Skem · 11 games
Invokersignature
Yopaj · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
331 picks · 475 bans
Bane
279 picks · 213 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 163 bans
Weaver
267 picks · 590 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 392 bans
Monkey King
256 picks · 712 bans
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 301 bans
Lion
215 picks · 101 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 65%
Hero pool strength62% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:21
Fnatic 34%BOOM Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 25:59.
Game 2prediction correct18:30
Fnatic 34%BOOM Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 50:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 66%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2