Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
BOOM Esports
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 17 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 17 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 17 games
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Bane
Skem · 14 games
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
553 picks · 461 bans
Mars
437 picks · 686 bans
Dragon Knight
424 picks · 536 bans
Bane
398 picks · 276 bans
Puck
359 picks · 829 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 572 bans
Chaos Knight
334 picks · 663 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 642 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total53% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:20
Fnatic 47%BOOM Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:00:14.
Game 2prediction correct12:33
Fnatic 47%BOOM Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 34:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 53%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2