BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 17 games
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 12 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
Marssignature
Tino- · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 9 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Tino- · 7 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Shanks · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
632 picks · 494 bans
Marci
470 picks · 687 bans
Dawnbreaker
409 picks · 576 bans
Puck
403 picks · 852 bans
Winter Wyvern
328 picks · 408 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
278 picks · 368 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 323 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total55% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:40
Fnatic 45%Execration 55%
The model gave 55% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 52:59.
Game 2prediction correct20:45
Fnatic 45%Execration 55%
The model gave 55% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 38:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 55%
Accuracy by game2 of 2