BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
588 picks · 445 bans
Marci
458 picks · 658 bans
Dawnbreaker
363 picks · 489 bans
Puck
348 picks · 793 bans
Winter Wyvern
305 picks · 387 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 490 bans
Dazzle
255 picks · 162 bans
Zeus
252 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:39
Fnatic 57%Hokori 43%
The model gave 57% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Hokori in 44:26.
Game 2prediction missed38:18
Fnatic 57%Hokori 43%
The model gave 57% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Hokori in 47:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 57%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2