BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NANeon Atomicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Atomic
Silencer
Hated · 3 games
Tiny
JG · 3 games
Marsoften banned
JG · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Hated · 2 games
Tusk
JG · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hated · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Hated · 1 game
Disruptor
Hated · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
375 picks · 596 bans
Undying
318 picks · 560 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 201 bans
Primal Beast
245 picks · 474 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 337 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 721 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 251 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 109 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 30%
Hero pool strength52% Neon Atomic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:23
Fnatic 82%Neon Atomic 18%
The model gave 82% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 40:09.
Game 2prediction missed18:40
Fnatic 82%Neon Atomic 18%
The model gave 82% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 33:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 82%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2