BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPAWN Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
SPAWN Team
Tusk
dalul · 17 games
Miranasignature
TraVins · 16 games
Rubick
TraVins · 15 games
Marcioften banned
dalul · 12 games
Silencer
TraVins · 12 games
Morphlingsignature
Jikroy · 11 games
Tiny
dalul · 11 games
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
556 picks · 370 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 503 bans
Tiny
501 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
385 picks · 453 bans
Mirana
364 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 171 bans
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 720 bans
Clockwerk
296 picks · 188 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:40
Fnatic 64%SPAWN Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Fnatic — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 50:59.
Game 2prediction missed38:37
Fnatic 64%SPAWN Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Fnatic — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 48:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 64%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2