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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team SMGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.

Team SMG

Bane
Bane
ninjaboogie · 10 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
57%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 7 games
86%
Io
Iooften banned
AhFu · 6 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
AhFu · 6 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 5 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
709 picks · 525 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
513 picks · 998 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 542 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
398 picks · 731 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 197 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 346 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
303 picks · 341 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
296 picks · 608 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Team SMG
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total56% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Fnatic 56%Team SMG 44%
The model gave 56% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Team SMG.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 56%
Series resultTeam SMG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1