BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XERXIAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
368 picks · 573 bans
Undying
334 picks · 572 bans
Tiny
326 picks · 223 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 334 bans
Primal Beast
240 picks · 462 bans
Enigma
233 picks · 746 bans
Death Prophet
209 picks · 310 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 243 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:32
Fnatic 43%XERXIA 57%
The model gave 57% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 41:39.
Game 2prediction correct39:5
Fnatic 43%XERXIA 57%
The model gave 57% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA in 25:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 57%
Accuracy by game2 of 2