Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionFGFracasados Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SSharkBoyswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fracasados Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
SharkBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
552 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 574 bans
Mars
444 picks · 593 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 750 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 540 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 176 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Fracasados Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Fracasados Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteFracasados Gaming · 57%
Series resultSharkBoys 0:2
Series predictionmissed