Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionFGFun gamersloss 0:1
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Night Pulsewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fun gamers
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Corrupted · 6 games
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fun gamers 14%Night Pulse 86%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 86%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1