The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionFEFuture Esportloss 0:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Tearlamentswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Future Esport
Oracleoften banned
LOyd · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 3 games
Axe
Irving · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Irving · 1 game
Clockwerk
LOyd · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Night · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Night · 1 game
Tearlaments
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
Muerta
poyoyo · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
Srf · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Srf · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
479 picks · 562 bans
Ringmaster
449 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 704 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 485 bans
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 719 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Future Esport
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:26
Future Esport 35%Tearlaments 65%
The model gave 65% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 26:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightNight
Templar Assassinpoyoyo
TidehunterIrving
TinyEcho
WarlockLOyd
KunkkaSrf
55% · 79 games
Shadow Shaman7e
56% · 183 games
Phoenixzzq
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 74%
Series resultTearlaments 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1