Future Esport vs Vici Gaming — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

FEFuture Esportloss 0:2

series probability

12%88%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Vici Gamingwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Future Esport

No games played over 6 months.

Vici Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Jakiro

477 picks · 447 bans

50%

Tiny

465 picks · 534 bans

50%

Ringmaster

439 picks · 221 bans

51%

Terrorblade

342 picks · 638 bans

46%

Storm Spirit

303 picks · 443 bans

54%

Ancient Apparition

294 picks · 649 bans

56%

Tusk

286 picks · 218 bans

47%

Windranger

279 picks · 84 bans

46%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength50% Future Esport

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total88% Vici Gaming

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct17:22

Future Esport 27%Vici Gaming 73%

The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 54:39.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo