PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
485 picks · 214 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
418 picks · 737 bans
Centaur Warrunner
398 picks · 562 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 163 bans
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 765 bans
Mars
338 picks · 561 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 39%
Hero pool strength50% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:5
G2 Invictus Gaming 60%Aurora Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 29:18.
Game 2prediction missed39:21
G2 Invictus Gaming 60%Aurora Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 18:48.
Game 3prediction missed20:6
G2 Invictus Gaming 60%Aurora Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 40:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 60%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3