DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Azure Raywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 12 games
Lunasignature
lou · 10 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 10 games
Batridersignature
天命 · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 8 games
Doomsignature
fy · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
254 picks · 425 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 375 bans
Centaur Warrunner
242 picks · 336 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 202 bans
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 499 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 98 bans
Pugna
179 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 70%
Hero pool strength60% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:26
G2 Invictus Gaming 28%Azure Ray 72%
The model gave 72% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 55:46.
Game 2prediction correct45:54
G2 Invictus Gaming 28%Azure Ray 72%
The model gave 72% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:36:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 72%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2