DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dark Horseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Dark Horse
Phoenixoften banned
sheep · 4 games
Clockwerk
sheep · 3 games
Lion
sheep · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
sheep · 2 games
Techies
sheep · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
sheep · 1 game
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
sheep · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
386 picks · 632 bans
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Mars
371 picks · 597 bans
Techies
370 picks · 304 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 760 bans
Vengeful Spirit
349 picks · 347 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 377 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 200 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Dark Horse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:31
G2 Invictus Gaming 94%Dark Horse 6%
The model gave 94% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Dark Horse in 25:09.
Game 2prediction missed44:16
G2 Invictus Gaming 94%Dark Horse 6%
The model gave 94% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Dark Horse in 26:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 94%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2