PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KEVloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
KEV
Brewmasteroften banned
ELeVeN · 7 games
Disruptorsignature
Undyne_ · 6 games
Razoroften banned
ELeVeN · 6 games
Weaversignature
flyfly · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Omniknight
ELeVeN · 5 games
Pudgeoften banned
Undyne_ · 5 games
Techies
Undyne_ · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 717 bans
Mars
416 picks · 668 bans
Techies
413 picks · 329 bans
Lion
397 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
396 picks · 513 bans
Batrider
394 picks · 872 bans
Crystal Maiden
373 picks · 166 bans
Rubick
369 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% KEV
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:18
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%KEV 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 1:00:57.
Game 2prediction missed24:8
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%KEV 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 33:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 81%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2