ESL One Birmingham 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MAG.Yololoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
MAG.Yolo
Elder Titanoften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
出省 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
318 picks · 464 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 411 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 445 bans
Lion
251 picks · 221 bans
Vengeful Spirit
245 picks · 145 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 333 bans
Nature's Prophet
238 picks · 679 bans
Magnus
233 picks · 367 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:5
G2 Invictus Gaming 92%MAG.Yolo 8%
The model gave 92% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by MAG.Yolo in 27:52.
Game 2prediction missed7:34
G2 Invictus Gaming 92%MAG.Yolo 8%
The model gave 92% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by MAG.Yolo in 18:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 92%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2