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Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Nigma Galaxy

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 16 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
KuroKy · 14 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
KuroKy · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Matthew · 11 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fbz · 10 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
KuroKy · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
SumaiL · 9 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
SumaiL · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
398 picks · 861 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
397 picks · 396 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
379 picks · 286 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
369 picks · 778 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 530 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 475 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
327 picks · 665 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 376 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 72%Nigma Galaxy 28%
The model gave 72% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 27:28.
Game 2prediction missed13:33
G2 Invictus Gaming 72%Nigma Galaxy 28%
The model gave 72% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 37:18.
Game 3prediction missed26:10
G2 Invictus Gaming 72%Nigma Galaxy 28%
The model gave 72% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 43:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 72%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3