ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Shopify Rebellion
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
SabeRLight- · 17 games
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 13 games
Batrideroften banned
Thiolicor · 12 games
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
Rubicksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
472 picks · 204 bans
Batrider
451 picks · 832 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 593 bans
Centaur Warrunner
445 picks · 663 bans
Rubick
419 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
393 picks · 723 bans
Mars
390 picks · 619 bans
Techies
381 picks · 293 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:19
G2 Invictus Gaming 50%Shopify Rebellion 50%
The model gave 50% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 43:43.
Game 2prediction correct14:29
G2 Invictus Gaming 50%Shopify Rebellion 50%
The model gave 50% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 40:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2