Riyadh Masters 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Brightloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Bright
Tidehunteroften banned
Irving · 9 games
Slardarsignature
Irving · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
TK · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
Linasignature
Ulu · 7 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
RedPanda · 7 games
Hoodwinksignature
TK · 6 games
Magnusoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 669 bans
Centaur Warrunner
415 picks · 596 bans
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 380 bans
Batrider
412 picks · 738 bans
Rubick
376 picks · 161 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 754 bans
Dragon Knight
342 picks · 1012 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total93% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:14
G2 Invictus Gaming 93%Team Bright 7%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Bright in 40:31.
Game 2prediction missed24:4
G2 Invictus Gaming 93%Team Bright 7%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Bright in 20:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 93%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2