ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Falconsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Falcons
Marssignature
ATF · 40 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 37 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
Doomsignature
ATF · 25 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 24 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
469 picks · 203 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 827 bans
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 663 bans
Tiny
440 picks · 592 bans
Rubick
412 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 706 bans
Mars
385 picks · 619 bans
Techies
378 picks · 293 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 64%
Hero pool strength65% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 41%Team Falcons 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 38:45.
Game 2prediction correct48:13
G2 Invictus Gaming 41%Team Falcons 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 41:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 59%
Accuracy by game2 of 2