PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Spirit
Rubick
Mira · 23 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
Tinyoften banned
Mira · 21 game
Grimstroke
Miposhka · 19 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 19 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 18 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Collapse · 17 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
487 picks · 215 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
420 picks · 738 bans
Centaur Warrunner
401 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
398 picks · 165 bans
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 346 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 772 bans
Mars
340 picks · 564 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 48%Team Spirit 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:46.
Game 2prediction correct20:12
G2 Invictus Gaming 48%Team Spirit 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 41:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 52%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2