The International 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Zerowin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Zero
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 12 games
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
Slardarsignature
7e · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
BEYOND · 9 games
Luna
poyoyo · 9 games
Razoroften banned
7e · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 228 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 751 bans
Gyrocopter
437 picks · 416 bans
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 633 bans
Batrider
402 picks · 742 bans
Rubick
383 picks · 168 bans
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 1026 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 725 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 59%
Hero pool strength57% Team Zero
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total81% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:32
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Team Zero 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 33:31.
Game 2prediction missed26:13
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Team Zero 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 28:04.
Game 3prediction missed12:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Team Zero 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 44:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 81%
Series resultTeam Zero 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3