DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Virtus.proloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Virtus.pro
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 18 games
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 12 games
Tinysignature
sayuw · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
361 picks · 318 bans
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 312 bans
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 480 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 379 bans
Hoodwink
253 picks · 142 bans
Mars
253 picks · 332 bans
Techies
253 picks · 171 bans
Magnus
247 picks · 462 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:12
G2 Invictus Gaming 51%Virtus.pro 49%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 34:39.
Game 2prediction missed14:29
G2 Invictus Gaming 51%Virtus.pro 49%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 46:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2