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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
9Pandasloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 52 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 30 games
77%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 29 games
66%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 28 games
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 28 games
64%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 28 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
61%

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 50 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 39 games
49%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 26 games
69%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 26 games
62%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
65%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
733 picks · 544 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
602 picks · 519 bans
53%
Doom
Doom
558 picks · 1095 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
554 picks · 1257 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
518 picks · 575 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
473 picks · 937 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1084 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
455 picks · 648 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 48%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total77% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:17
Gaimin Gladiators 65%9Pandas 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingdyrachyo
54% · 141 game52% · 251 game
Morphlingkiyotaka
Morphling
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
48% · 259 games43% · 124 games
Chaos KnightRAMZES666
Chaos Knight
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
45% · 99 games39% · 23 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Techies
TechiestOfu
53% · 204 games53% · 346 games
BatriderAntares
Batrider
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
49% · 195 games56% · 154 games
PugnaSolo
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed15:31
Gaimin Gladiators 64%9Pandas 36%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
53% · 184 games58% · 95 games
JuggernautRAMZES666
Juggernaut
Axe
AxeAce
46% · 30 games54% · 123 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
42% · 292 games52% · 362 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Mirana
MiranatOfu
48% · 289 games45% · 79 games
Shadow DemonAntares
Shadow Demon
Undying
UndyingSeleri
50% · 277 games52% · 413 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Game 3prediction correct19:14
Gaimin Gladiators 66%9Pandas 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanAce
55% · 69 games52% · 78 games
JuggernautRAMZES666
Juggernaut
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
50% · 155 games48% · 144 games
Puckkiyotaka
Puck
Morphling
Morphlingdyrachyo
51% · 170 games52% · 105 games
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Techies
TechiestOfu
46% · 201 game39% · 107 games
Shadow DemonAntares
Shadow Demon
Undying
UndyingSeleri
56% · 183 games51% · 344 games
BatriderSolo
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 77%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3