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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AVULUSwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
59%

AVULUS

Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 22 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Ekki · 22 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
SoNNeikO · 20 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
Stormstormer · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xibbe · 19 games
74%
Tusk
Tusksignature
SoNNeikO · 18 games
72%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Smiling Knight · 17 games
76%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Ekki · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
371 picks · 493 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
364 picks · 340 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 458 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 591 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
295 picks · 351 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
275 picks · 145 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
253 picks · 410 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
250 picks · 247 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:30
Gaimin Gladiators 61%AVULUS 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by AVULUS in 50:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistWatson
54% · 171 game48% · 176 games
BeastmasterXibbe
Beastmaster
Huskar
HuskarQuinn
56% · 33 games51% · 77 games
BroodmotherSmiling Knight
Broodmother
Doom
DoomAce
45% · 234 games55% · 196 games
Storm SpiritStormstormer
Storm Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowtOfu
48% · 218 games48% · 231 game
PhoenixSoNNeikO
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
56% · 273 games42% · 249 games
HoodwinkEkki
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed7:23
Gaimin Gladiators 59%AVULUS 41%
The model gave 59% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by AVULUS in 23:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
51% · 108 games50% · 119 games
BristlebackSmiling Knight
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangolierAce
47% · 277 games53% · 265 games
PuckStormstormer
Puck
Sand King
Sand KingQuinn
55% · 118 games45% · 42 games
DawnbreakerXibbe
Dawnbreaker
Mirana
MiranatOfu
50% · 128 games49% · 285 games
HoodwinkEkki
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskSeleri
47% · 203 games50% · 123 games
ChenSoNNeikO
Chen
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 70%
Series resultAVULUS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2