DreamLeague Season 19 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 34 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 23 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 22 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 20 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 18 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 18 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
1010 picks · 676 bans
Tiny
655 picks · 479 bans
Nature's Prophet
609 picks · 956 bans
Tusk
559 picks · 438 bans
Snapfire
522 picks · 357 bans
Death Prophet
519 picks · 1169 bans
Disruptor
505 picks · 365 bans
Treant Protector
502 picks · 492 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 51%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:15
Gaimin Gladiators 62%beastcoast 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:38.
Game 2prediction correct35:11
Gaimin Gladiators 62%beastcoast 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 62%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2