DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
beastcoastloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 47 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 24 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 634 bans
Disruptor
603 picks · 534 bans
Doom
532 picks · 1046 bans
Beastmaster
531 picks · 1315 bans
Ember Spirit
461 picks · 1176 bans
Pangolier
458 picks · 947 bans
Techies
443 picks · 459 bans
Mirana
439 picks · 225 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 45%
Hero pool strength63% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:30
Gaimin Gladiators 66%beastcoast 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by beastcoast in 42:07.
Game 2prediction correct42:7
Gaimin Gladiators 66%beastcoast 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 26:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 66%
Accuracy by game1 of 2