The International 2022 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 23 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 17 games
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 17 games
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 14 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
496 picks · 384 bans
Marci
423 picks · 644 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 461 bans
Puck
283 picks · 690 bans
Dawnbreaker
281 picks · 395 bans
Undying
252 picks · 447 bans
Winter Wyvern
252 picks · 334 bans
Batrider
248 picks · 820 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 77%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:32
Gaimin Gladiators 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 45:26.
Game 2prediction missed32:35
Gaimin Gladiators 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 54:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2